I've got finals coming up so I'll make this quick.
East
(1) Bulls vs (5) Hawks
I see too much talent, size, and athleticism on Chicago to have this be a close series at all. Perhaps, though, Indiana laid the blue print on how to slow down Derrick Rose. Bulls in 5.
(2) Heat vs (3) Celtics
The matchup everyone wanted to see. The new boys against the old guns. Boston swept Miami during the regular season, but I expect both teams to hold serve at home all series long. Heat in 7.
West
(2) Lakers vs (3) Mavs
This is going to be an exciting series as well. No one is picking Dallas to win it, just like last series. Kobe didn't have a great series against the Hornets, and if that trend continues, Dallas should win this one with relative ease. Mavs in 6.
(4) Thunder vs (8) Grizzlies
OKC is not going to let Zach Randolph do his thing like he did against San An. They also don't have the defensive talent to contain Durant, Westbrook, and Serge Ibaka. Thunder in 6.
Saturday, April 30, 2011
NBA Playoffs Round 1 Wrap Up
First, let's wrap up Round 1.
East
(1) Bulls - (8) Pacers
Indiana put up a damn good fight every game, and well could've won this series, but just too much Derrick Rose early on. The Pacers had him under wraps a couple games and did an excellent job stopping him, but at that point the Bulls had it won.
(2) Heat - (7) 76ers
Philly did the same thing and Indy. The young Sixers squad came out to play and never game up in any of the games. Lots of heart from those young folks, but not nearly enough to topple King James and Co.
(3) Celtics - (6) Knicks
Games 1 & 2 easily could've gone to NY and completely changed the complexion of the series, but Boston hit the big shots in both those games and left the Knicks demoralized in MSG. Boston finished them off their with ease.
(4) Magic - (5) Hawks
This was the most surprising series to me. Perhaps I completely overestimated the Magic. I still don't think the Hawks are a great team. I simply think Orlando played terribly during the series, aside from Dwight Howard, and no one could step up to help him out.
West
(1) Spurs - (8) Grizzlies
I anticipated a hard series for the Spurs, but I didn't think they'd lose it. I'm not too surprised, considering Memphis matches up phenomenally against San An. This was probably the one team SA didn't want to face in the playoffs. There were a couple games that could've gone either way in the series, one went to the Spurs and the other went to the Griz. Could've been a different story had SA taken the first tossup game. I'm sad to see the legends that are Tony Parkey, Manu Ginobili, and THE Tim Duncan go so early. Always a great team to watch and I hope they come back strong next year.
(2) Lakers - (7) Hornets
NO startled LA early on, but not even a tweaked ankle from Kobe was going to let them lose this series. LA was just the better team.
(3) Mavs - (6) Blazers
This was a more lopsided series than it showed. After a Game 4 Portland victory, I said the series was over. Dallas won. It took everything from their no name players and has-been superstar Brandon Roy to win that game. Not to mention Dirk and Terry shot terribly and you BARELY win the game. Portland needed everything to go right for them and everything to go wrong for Dallas to squeak by games. The Mavs came back the next two games and handled them to finish the job.
(4) Thunder - (5) Nuggets
Lots of firepower from both teams, but too much Kevin Durant and Russell Westbrook. Both very fun teams to watch.
East
(1) Bulls - (8) Pacers
Indiana put up a damn good fight every game, and well could've won this series, but just too much Derrick Rose early on. The Pacers had him under wraps a couple games and did an excellent job stopping him, but at that point the Bulls had it won.
(2) Heat - (7) 76ers
Philly did the same thing and Indy. The young Sixers squad came out to play and never game up in any of the games. Lots of heart from those young folks, but not nearly enough to topple King James and Co.
(3) Celtics - (6) Knicks
Games 1 & 2 easily could've gone to NY and completely changed the complexion of the series, but Boston hit the big shots in both those games and left the Knicks demoralized in MSG. Boston finished them off their with ease.
(4) Magic - (5) Hawks
This was the most surprising series to me. Perhaps I completely overestimated the Magic. I still don't think the Hawks are a great team. I simply think Orlando played terribly during the series, aside from Dwight Howard, and no one could step up to help him out.
West
(1) Spurs - (8) Grizzlies
I anticipated a hard series for the Spurs, but I didn't think they'd lose it. I'm not too surprised, considering Memphis matches up phenomenally against San An. This was probably the one team SA didn't want to face in the playoffs. There were a couple games that could've gone either way in the series, one went to the Spurs and the other went to the Griz. Could've been a different story had SA taken the first tossup game. I'm sad to see the legends that are Tony Parkey, Manu Ginobili, and THE Tim Duncan go so early. Always a great team to watch and I hope they come back strong next year.
(2) Lakers - (7) Hornets
NO startled LA early on, but not even a tweaked ankle from Kobe was going to let them lose this series. LA was just the better team.
(3) Mavs - (6) Blazers
This was a more lopsided series than it showed. After a Game 4 Portland victory, I said the series was over. Dallas won. It took everything from their no name players and has-been superstar Brandon Roy to win that game. Not to mention Dirk and Terry shot terribly and you BARELY win the game. Portland needed everything to go right for them and everything to go wrong for Dallas to squeak by games. The Mavs came back the next two games and handled them to finish the job.
(4) Thunder - (5) Nuggets
Lots of firepower from both teams, but too much Kevin Durant and Russell Westbrook. Both very fun teams to watch.
Monday, April 18, 2011
NASCAR at Talladega
Unreal. It was pretty much summed up in ESPN's headline of the race. It was along the lines of, "If you weren't thrilled by the finish at Talladega on Sunday, then NASCAR really is not for you." They even went so far as to state, "If you weren't thrilled by Talladega on Sunday, wake up." Truer words have never been spoken. This is as exciting as it gets, folks.
The intensity of that last lap can't be described. It was an eventful race throughout with a couple crashes taking out some people like Daytona 500 winner Trevor Bayne, Matt Kenseth, and Kyle Busch. Jimmie Johnson and Dale Jr were almost caught as well, but they were able to avoid anything disastrous by merely side swiping each other and still able to say in the race.
On Saturday, Dale Jr stating he thought that the whole tandem thing was silly, saying he preferred old school racing better when it was just straight up. Well, perhaps his perspective has changed after what he did on Sunday. With less than a lap to go, he got behind teammate Jimmie Johnson and they both rolled to the inside of the track by getting under teammate Jeff Gordon, the leader at the time. Next thing you know, the 6th and 5th place Earnhardt and Johnson, ended in 4th and 1st, respectively.
With the unbelievable 88/48 tandem, Jimmie was able to steal the victory by .002 seconds, tying the closest finish in NASCAR history. It that stat isn't shocking in itself, what about Mark Martin, finishing in 8th place, finishing .145 seconds behind winner Jimmie Johnson. That's how close the race was between the top 8 drivers. Absolutely absurd. Dale pushing JJ, Mark Martin pushing Jeff, Kevin Harvick pushing Clint Bowyer.
Phenomenal weekend for Hendrick Motorsports. They became only the 3rd team in history to claim the top 4 starting positions, with Jeff Gordon leading the way by winning the pole. During the actual race, though, they still performed. Jimmie Johnson in 1st, Jeff Gordon in 3rd, Dale Jr in 4th, Mark Martin in 8th. Again, all 4 separated by .145 seconds.
I can't restate enough how sick that pass down low was by the 88/48 combo. Dale knew having Jimmie in front was the faster duo and he put himself in a position where he couldn't win the race, but he made it happen for his teammate. Marvelous selflessness from Dale. This is definitely going down as one of the best races in the history folks. I don't think we've ever seen such a close finish within the top 8 like that, and I'm not sure it's ever going to happen again.
The intensity of that last lap can't be described. It was an eventful race throughout with a couple crashes taking out some people like Daytona 500 winner Trevor Bayne, Matt Kenseth, and Kyle Busch. Jimmie Johnson and Dale Jr were almost caught as well, but they were able to avoid anything disastrous by merely side swiping each other and still able to say in the race.
On Saturday, Dale Jr stating he thought that the whole tandem thing was silly, saying he preferred old school racing better when it was just straight up. Well, perhaps his perspective has changed after what he did on Sunday. With less than a lap to go, he got behind teammate Jimmie Johnson and they both rolled to the inside of the track by getting under teammate Jeff Gordon, the leader at the time. Next thing you know, the 6th and 5th place Earnhardt and Johnson, ended in 4th and 1st, respectively.
With the unbelievable 88/48 tandem, Jimmie was able to steal the victory by .002 seconds, tying the closest finish in NASCAR history. It that stat isn't shocking in itself, what about Mark Martin, finishing in 8th place, finishing .145 seconds behind winner Jimmie Johnson. That's how close the race was between the top 8 drivers. Absolutely absurd. Dale pushing JJ, Mark Martin pushing Jeff, Kevin Harvick pushing Clint Bowyer.
Phenomenal weekend for Hendrick Motorsports. They became only the 3rd team in history to claim the top 4 starting positions, with Jeff Gordon leading the way by winning the pole. During the actual race, though, they still performed. Jimmie Johnson in 1st, Jeff Gordon in 3rd, Dale Jr in 4th, Mark Martin in 8th. Again, all 4 separated by .145 seconds.
I can't restate enough how sick that pass down low was by the 88/48 combo. Dale knew having Jimmie in front was the faster duo and he put himself in a position where he couldn't win the race, but he made it happen for his teammate. Marvelous selflessness from Dale. This is definitely going down as one of the best races in the history folks. I don't think we've ever seen such a close finish within the top 8 like that, and I'm not sure it's ever going to happen again.
Sunday, April 17, 2011
NBA Playoffs Game 1s
With the first couple days of the playoffs done, it's already been exciting and surprising.
The Bulls squeaked by the Pacers who went ice cold the final two minutes.
Hansbrough played great for Indiana and Danny Granger came alive in the 2nd half but their choked down the stretch to give the game to the Bulls. I feel like that was their best shot to steal a game, and now they wont get any closer than that.
The Heat got all they could handle against the 76ers.
The Sixers came out firing, but Miami settled in and hit big shots. Philly came back but it just wasn't enough. AI did a great job on LeBron. I could see this being a pretty exciting series if Philly can keep LBJ under control and make it a D-Wade focused game.
The Celtics needed late game heroics to be bailed out against the Knicks.
The Knicks had this one in the bag but Ray Allen was huge all game and hit the game winner. NY can't dwell on such a heartbreaking loss and come back next game. Very physical game. Should be a great series.
The Magic got manhandled by the underdog Hawks.
Dwight Howard did everything he could and more in this matchup. 31 points in the first half and still being down? I don't know what the rest of his team was doing. If they continue to play so one-dimensional they will get swept. They're a versatile team, though, so I expect them to come out strong next game.
The Spurs came back in the clutch, but the Grizzlies ultimately took it back with a Shane Battier 3.
Matt Bonner came up huge with back-to-back 3s in the final minutes, but Battier's triple proved to be the decider. Richard Jefferson got as good a look as you're going to get in this league to tie the game but he hit back iron. I knew it was going to be a struggle for San An. Memphis is tough, but when Ginobili comes back it's over.
The Lakers got stomped by the Hornets and CP3s amazing performance.
No defense by these Lakers. Got pushed around in the paint all day. Pau Gasol is going to need to play better on both ends of the court if they want to win this series, and that's exactly what I expect him to do.
The Mavericks toughed it out against the Blazers in the 4th thanks to Dirk and J-Kidd.
After struggling all night, Dirk was extremely aggressive in the 4th and went to the line 13 times and nailed all 13 of his free throws. 18 points in the 4th and the dagger 3 from Jason Kidd iced this game for Dallas. The Mavs went almost 11 minutes without hitting a shot. If they can play that poorly and Dirk can shoot that poorly (7-20) and they STILL win the game, Portland is in trouble. Dallas did everything they could to give them the game and they couldn't take advantage. This series is as good as over.
The Thunder and Nuggets traded blows until OKC came out on top.
I feel like these two teams will be scoring in triple digits often. Great game by both teams and especially by Kevin Durant and Russell Westbrook. This young duo is exciting as any to watch and if they stick together and do some real damage in the future. They're already going to do a good amount this postseason.
The Bulls squeaked by the Pacers who went ice cold the final two minutes.
Hansbrough played great for Indiana and Danny Granger came alive in the 2nd half but their choked down the stretch to give the game to the Bulls. I feel like that was their best shot to steal a game, and now they wont get any closer than that.
The Heat got all they could handle against the 76ers.
The Sixers came out firing, but Miami settled in and hit big shots. Philly came back but it just wasn't enough. AI did a great job on LeBron. I could see this being a pretty exciting series if Philly can keep LBJ under control and make it a D-Wade focused game.
The Celtics needed late game heroics to be bailed out against the Knicks.
The Knicks had this one in the bag but Ray Allen was huge all game and hit the game winner. NY can't dwell on such a heartbreaking loss and come back next game. Very physical game. Should be a great series.
The Magic got manhandled by the underdog Hawks.
Dwight Howard did everything he could and more in this matchup. 31 points in the first half and still being down? I don't know what the rest of his team was doing. If they continue to play so one-dimensional they will get swept. They're a versatile team, though, so I expect them to come out strong next game.
The Spurs came back in the clutch, but the Grizzlies ultimately took it back with a Shane Battier 3.
Matt Bonner came up huge with back-to-back 3s in the final minutes, but Battier's triple proved to be the decider. Richard Jefferson got as good a look as you're going to get in this league to tie the game but he hit back iron. I knew it was going to be a struggle for San An. Memphis is tough, but when Ginobili comes back it's over.
The Lakers got stomped by the Hornets and CP3s amazing performance.
No defense by these Lakers. Got pushed around in the paint all day. Pau Gasol is going to need to play better on both ends of the court if they want to win this series, and that's exactly what I expect him to do.
The Mavericks toughed it out against the Blazers in the 4th thanks to Dirk and J-Kidd.
After struggling all night, Dirk was extremely aggressive in the 4th and went to the line 13 times and nailed all 13 of his free throws. 18 points in the 4th and the dagger 3 from Jason Kidd iced this game for Dallas. The Mavs went almost 11 minutes without hitting a shot. If they can play that poorly and Dirk can shoot that poorly (7-20) and they STILL win the game, Portland is in trouble. Dallas did everything they could to give them the game and they couldn't take advantage. This series is as good as over.
The Thunder and Nuggets traded blows until OKC came out on top.
I feel like these two teams will be scoring in triple digits often. Great game by both teams and especially by Kevin Durant and Russell Westbrook. This young duo is exciting as any to watch and if they stick together and do some real damage in the future. They're already going to do a good amount this postseason.
Wednesday, April 13, 2011
NBA Playoffs Set
So, the NBA Playoff mathups are set. I'll be listing the matchups and stating my predictions with reasons. I'm more a follower of NBA ball over NCAA, so I'll be more in depth in these blogs.
East
(1) Chicago Bulls vs (8) Indiana Pacers
I really cant see the Pacers even putting up much of a fight. It's not that I think the Bulls are phenomenal, but I think the Pacers really just aren't good. Danny Granger is really the only one on that team worth noting, and he won't be able to carry the team against Derrick Rose and company. Roy Hibbert and Tyler Hansbrough will get crushed by Carlos Boozer, Joakim Noah, and Tim Thomas. Expect Indiana's big men to struggle mightily this series. I expect Mike Dunleavy to put up a decent performance during the series for the Pacers, though.
Bulls in 4.
(2) Miami Heat vs (7) Philadelphia 76ers
Well, the talk of the NBA world will finally get to start their quest to the holy grail against the 76ers, who have been struggling as of late. There is simply going to be too much talent on this Heat team for Philly to handle. AI will do all he can for his squad, but there isn't anyone else really who can do what is needed to make this series a series.
Heat in 5.
(3) Boston Celtics vs (6) NY Knicks
Boston vs New York. The two biggest sports cities in America colliding once again (Side Note: LA doesn't even have a football team, so despite their numerous baseball, basketball, and hockey teams they can't be taken seriously as a major sports city in my opinion). New York is hungry and will be trying to take down the defending Eastern Conference Champions. Well, I don't see it happening. They'll be able to make Carmelo struggle shooting the ball. Amare won't be able to lift the team by his lonesome. Carmelo will have some decent games, but not enough to topple the Celtics.
Celtics in 6.
(4) Orlando Magic vs (5) Atlanta Hawks
I straight up think Hawks are overrated. Dwight Howard's crew will be too difficult to stop for Atlanta in this series. Joe Johnson will really need to step up if he wants to give his team a fighting chance, but Orlando plays really tough D and they'll do enough to shut down the rest of the team.
Magic in 5.
West
(1) San Antonio Spurs vs (8) Memphis Grizzlies
The Grizzlies are a young team looking to upset the old Spurs who far exceeded expectations this year. The Spurs simply have too much experience to let the Griz get the better of them. Memphis will come to play, though, but not at the level the Spurs will be at.
Spurs in 6.
(2) LA Lakers vs (7) New Orleans Hornets
LA avoided a major choke and grabbed the 2-seed with an OT win against the Kings to end the regular season. Their reward is a date with the Hornets. NO hasn't been the terrifying force they have been in the past with Chris Paul at helm and Omeka Okafor hasn't really been as good for this team as it looked on paper. No David West means no W for NO. Kobe and Co will handle this squad.
Lakers in 5.
(3) Dallas Mavericks vs (6) Portland Trail Blazers
This is, in my opinion, the 2nd most interesting matchup in these playoffs. The Blazers are a young and extremely talented team with Brandon Roy and LaMarcus Aldridge headlining the team. They're fast and they can shoot the ball. Dallas, regarded as the best jump-shooting team in the league bar-none, will get all they can handle from these guys. The games will be tough, but I expect Dirk to have himself a nice series, as he has been playing phenomenally all season long. I'm a big fan of this Mavs team and see them doing big things. All the analysts are saying they wont make it out of the first round. They'll prove those "experts" wrong.
Mavs in 5.
(4) Oklahoma City Thunder vs (5) Denver Nuggets
What a story these Nuggets have been. They lose they're best player, Carmelo Anthony, and they're experience leader and veteran, Chauncey Billups, and they seem to get better... a lot better. They lead the league in points scored and have perhaps the best all around team in these playoffs. They have no big names on the team but they work well together. Ty Lawson was seen limping off the court tonight, but assuming he's healthy, I still don't think they'll be victorious. Last year I predicted the Thunder to upset the Lakers in the first round last year, the Thunder being an 8-seed. Now, after another season to gain experience and mesh with the emergence if Russell Westbrook and Serge Ibaka, I think the Thunder crush this feel-good Nuggets squad.
Thunder in 5.
Now, I'll give you my overall predictions rather than a round by round, which will come obviously after each round.
East
Round 1
Bulls 4-0 Pacers
Heat 4-1 76ers
Celtics 4-2 Knicks
Magic 4-1 Hawks
Round 2
Bulls 4-3 Magic
Heat 4-2 Celtics
Conference Finals
Heat 4-2 Bulls
West
Round 1
Spurs 4-2 Grizzlies
Lakers 4-1 Hornets
Mavs 4-1 Blazers
Thunder 4-1 Nuggets
Round 2
Thunder 4-2 Spurs
Mavs 4-2 Lakers
Conference Finals
Mavs 4-3 Thunder
NBA Finals
Mavs 4-3 Heat
*Predictions subject to change after witnessing teams play playoff basketball, but most likely wont.
East
(1) Chicago Bulls vs (8) Indiana Pacers
I really cant see the Pacers even putting up much of a fight. It's not that I think the Bulls are phenomenal, but I think the Pacers really just aren't good. Danny Granger is really the only one on that team worth noting, and he won't be able to carry the team against Derrick Rose and company. Roy Hibbert and Tyler Hansbrough will get crushed by Carlos Boozer, Joakim Noah, and Tim Thomas. Expect Indiana's big men to struggle mightily this series. I expect Mike Dunleavy to put up a decent performance during the series for the Pacers, though.
Bulls in 4.
(2) Miami Heat vs (7) Philadelphia 76ers
Well, the talk of the NBA world will finally get to start their quest to the holy grail against the 76ers, who have been struggling as of late. There is simply going to be too much talent on this Heat team for Philly to handle. AI will do all he can for his squad, but there isn't anyone else really who can do what is needed to make this series a series.
Heat in 5.
(3) Boston Celtics vs (6) NY Knicks
Boston vs New York. The two biggest sports cities in America colliding once again (Side Note: LA doesn't even have a football team, so despite their numerous baseball, basketball, and hockey teams they can't be taken seriously as a major sports city in my opinion). New York is hungry and will be trying to take down the defending Eastern Conference Champions. Well, I don't see it happening. They'll be able to make Carmelo struggle shooting the ball. Amare won't be able to lift the team by his lonesome. Carmelo will have some decent games, but not enough to topple the Celtics.
Celtics in 6.
(4) Orlando Magic vs (5) Atlanta Hawks
I straight up think Hawks are overrated. Dwight Howard's crew will be too difficult to stop for Atlanta in this series. Joe Johnson will really need to step up if he wants to give his team a fighting chance, but Orlando plays really tough D and they'll do enough to shut down the rest of the team.
Magic in 5.
West
(1) San Antonio Spurs vs (8) Memphis Grizzlies
The Grizzlies are a young team looking to upset the old Spurs who far exceeded expectations this year. The Spurs simply have too much experience to let the Griz get the better of them. Memphis will come to play, though, but not at the level the Spurs will be at.
Spurs in 6.
(2) LA Lakers vs (7) New Orleans Hornets
LA avoided a major choke and grabbed the 2-seed with an OT win against the Kings to end the regular season. Their reward is a date with the Hornets. NO hasn't been the terrifying force they have been in the past with Chris Paul at helm and Omeka Okafor hasn't really been as good for this team as it looked on paper. No David West means no W for NO. Kobe and Co will handle this squad.
Lakers in 5.
(3) Dallas Mavericks vs (6) Portland Trail Blazers
This is, in my opinion, the 2nd most interesting matchup in these playoffs. The Blazers are a young and extremely talented team with Brandon Roy and LaMarcus Aldridge headlining the team. They're fast and they can shoot the ball. Dallas, regarded as the best jump-shooting team in the league bar-none, will get all they can handle from these guys. The games will be tough, but I expect Dirk to have himself a nice series, as he has been playing phenomenally all season long. I'm a big fan of this Mavs team and see them doing big things. All the analysts are saying they wont make it out of the first round. They'll prove those "experts" wrong.
Mavs in 5.
(4) Oklahoma City Thunder vs (5) Denver Nuggets
What a story these Nuggets have been. They lose they're best player, Carmelo Anthony, and they're experience leader and veteran, Chauncey Billups, and they seem to get better... a lot better. They lead the league in points scored and have perhaps the best all around team in these playoffs. They have no big names on the team but they work well together. Ty Lawson was seen limping off the court tonight, but assuming he's healthy, I still don't think they'll be victorious. Last year I predicted the Thunder to upset the Lakers in the first round last year, the Thunder being an 8-seed. Now, after another season to gain experience and mesh with the emergence if Russell Westbrook and Serge Ibaka, I think the Thunder crush this feel-good Nuggets squad.
Thunder in 5.
Now, I'll give you my overall predictions rather than a round by round, which will come obviously after each round.
East
Round 1
Bulls 4-0 Pacers
Heat 4-1 76ers
Celtics 4-2 Knicks
Magic 4-1 Hawks
Round 2
Bulls 4-3 Magic
Heat 4-2 Celtics
Conference Finals
Heat 4-2 Bulls
West
Round 1
Spurs 4-2 Grizzlies
Lakers 4-1 Hornets
Mavs 4-1 Blazers
Thunder 4-1 Nuggets
Round 2
Thunder 4-2 Spurs
Mavs 4-2 Lakers
Conference Finals
Mavs 4-3 Thunder
NBA Finals
Mavs 4-3 Heat
*Predictions subject to change after witnessing teams play playoff basketball, but most likely wont.
Monday, April 4, 2011
March Madness Title Game
Congrats to the UConn Huskies on their victory as the best team in college basketball. They used an unparalleled run through the Big East tournament to gain momentum and tear up the NCAA tournament. Jim Calhoun, amidst the allegations he's gone through, was able to stay focused on the season and get the most out of his players. UConn, losers of two in a row and 4 of 5 going into the Big East tournament, ran off 11 straight wins to clinch the titles of Big East Champions and National Champions. They stayed hungry all season long and they deserve the win.
Butler, on the other hand, really didn't play well at all today. 19% shooting from the field pretty much sums up what went wrong for this team. As I watch the trophy ceremony, it was stated that this is the worst shooting performance in championship history, which probably shouldn't come as a surprise since the lowest teams would normally shoot is around 30%. I thought the guard matchup would be exciting. Both Shelvin Mack and Kemba Walker struggled, as they shot 4-15 and 5-19, respectively. Butler had difficulty making even layups. I'm not really going to go into individual stats because when a team shoots 19%, no one had a good game. But I feel Matt Howard shooting 1-13 is worth noting.
If watching the game wasn't indication enough of how poorly the teams played, the rest of the stats should. Luckily for UConn, though, Butler played significantly worse. They had 5 assists in the game whereas UConn had 6. 11 combined assists from both teams? Ball movement and teamwork was clearly a problem. UConn shot 1-11 from downtown, another stat showing how poorly they played. Granted, some of the missed shots were caused by solid defense by both teams, but shooting that poorly is inexcusable. Both teams needed to look for better shots or simply knock down the open looks they had.
UConn, the 9th best team in the Big East after the regular season, is the best team in college basketball. I think that says something about the depth of the Big East if the 9th best team can come in and win it all. Last blog I stated Butler would win, but I wouldn't be surprised if the game was a blowout in UConn's favor. Well, clearly the blowout one was the one that happened.
EDIT: Lowest scoring first half in a national championship game since 1946, when Oklahoma St and North Carolina combined for 40. UConn and Butler combined for 41. In 1946, there was no shot clock yet either.
It's been a fun tournament, folks. Since it's over I'll be talking about some NBA, NHL playoffs, NASCAR, and whatever else gets tossed into the news.
Butler, on the other hand, really didn't play well at all today. 19% shooting from the field pretty much sums up what went wrong for this team. As I watch the trophy ceremony, it was stated that this is the worst shooting performance in championship history, which probably shouldn't come as a surprise since the lowest teams would normally shoot is around 30%. I thought the guard matchup would be exciting. Both Shelvin Mack and Kemba Walker struggled, as they shot 4-15 and 5-19, respectively. Butler had difficulty making even layups. I'm not really going to go into individual stats because when a team shoots 19%, no one had a good game. But I feel Matt Howard shooting 1-13 is worth noting.
If watching the game wasn't indication enough of how poorly the teams played, the rest of the stats should. Luckily for UConn, though, Butler played significantly worse. They had 5 assists in the game whereas UConn had 6. 11 combined assists from both teams? Ball movement and teamwork was clearly a problem. UConn shot 1-11 from downtown, another stat showing how poorly they played. Granted, some of the missed shots were caused by solid defense by both teams, but shooting that poorly is inexcusable. Both teams needed to look for better shots or simply knock down the open looks they had.
UConn, the 9th best team in the Big East after the regular season, is the best team in college basketball. I think that says something about the depth of the Big East if the 9th best team can come in and win it all. Last blog I stated Butler would win, but I wouldn't be surprised if the game was a blowout in UConn's favor. Well, clearly the blowout one was the one that happened.
EDIT: Lowest scoring first half in a national championship game since 1946, when Oklahoma St and North Carolina combined for 40. UConn and Butler combined for 41. In 1946, there was no shot clock yet either.
It's been a fun tournament, folks. Since it's over I'll be talking about some NBA, NHL playoffs, NASCAR, and whatever else gets tossed into the news.
Sunday, April 3, 2011
March Madness Stats
Well, I was curious to see the parity demonstrated this tournament and decided to do some number crunching to find some averages from each round and each region. I simply averaged the scores from each round and then combined all the rounds together to get a final average throughout the course of the tournament so far. Obviously there is still one game left, but I really wanted to do it now.
First, I found the average point spread from the seeding matchups. I didn't calculate the play-in games (technically first round) just because I like this format better. I then put a win-loss ratio next to the spread average which is respective to the order of the seeds I listed. From then on I calculated it be region and found a total average for all of them, all the way up to the Final Four. Unfortunately, I don't have any stats like this from prior tournaments and I don't think any exist, so I don't really have anything to compare it to in order to make a real conclusion but I'll try just using general knowledge.
(1) (16) : 28.25 points : 4-0
(2) (15) : 18.5 points : 4-0
(3) (14) : 19 points : 4-0
(4) (13) : 5.25 points : 3-1
(5) (12) : 4.5 points : 3-1
(6) (11) : 12 points : 1-3
(7) (10) : 3.5 points : 3-1
(8) (9) : 11.75 points : 3-1
Average Spread : 12.8 points
As you can see, the closest matchups were the (7) (10), (5) (12), and (4) (13) battles by long shots. In the (6) (11) games, the (11) won 3 of the 4.
3rd Round
East : 9 points : (11) over (3)
West : 5.25 points : (5) over (4)
Southwest : 15.75 points : (11) over (3) & (10) over (2)
Southeast : 9 points : (8) over (1)
Average Spread : 9.75
The point spread dropped here, as expected in every progressing round, since the cream is rising to the top so the games will be tighter. Noted are some upsets, seeding-wise.
Sweet 16
East : 10 points : (4) over (1)
West : 11.5 points : (5) over (1) & (3) over (2)
Southwest : 10.5 points : (11) over (10)
Southeast : 8 points : (8) over (4)
Average Spread : 10 points
The point spread rose .25, so a 1 point total difference. Nothing significant.
Elite Eight
East : 7 points : (4) over (2)
West : 2 points
Southwest : 10 points : (11) over (1)
Southeast : 3 points : (8) over (2)
Average Spread : 5.5 points
Spread dropped a solid amount to a 2-possession game average. In this round 3 of the 4 lower seeds won, and the only higher seed that did was a (3) over (5) by 2 points.
Final Four
East vs West : 1 point
Southwest vs Southeast : 8 points
Average spread : 4.5 points
Spread dropped. Both higher seeds won.
Tournament Average : 9.23 points
Conclusion : The average spread was single digits. I feel as though that is pretty significant when discussing parity. Even given the almost 30points average the (1) seeds had on (16), the rest of the field played tightly enough to yield this result. I feel as though winning by 13+ would be considered a blowout, but the average for this was obviously below that. This shows that most of the games were close and intense and probably could've gone the other way very easily. All I can really say this stat shows is that this tournament produced a lot of nail-biting games and the fans were usually on the edge of their seats, whether it be a lower seed taking down a power house or a higher seed squeaking out a victory over a lower seed. Now, I hope my math is right on these since it's 5AM but I do think they're all correct. So my conclusion is that the games, on average, were not blowouts and they were damn close. This isn't even taking into account things like (1) Duke beating (8) Michigan by 2 points and (11) VCU beating (3) Purdue by 18 and (1) Kansas by 10. The parity is even closer than it seems because some of these large point differences I calculated were by lower seeds slaughtering higher seeds and higher seeds barely beating lower seeds. It wasn't always the higher seeds adding big numbers to the spread. A good deal of the time it was actually the lower seed while the higher narrowly won.
The Southwest 3rd Round is a prime example of this. The average spread is 15.75 points and I noted the (11) beat the (3) and the (10) beat the (2). I don't want people assuming these were close games and it was the other two games in the round that helped boost the numbers. The (10) and (11) won by 14 and 18 points, respectively. These teams were clearly better than their favored counterparts.
I actually just did one more stat check for fun. Here is a round-by-round breakdown of how the lower seeds performed in the only stat that matters is. Winning.
2nd Round : 7/32 lower seeds won
3rd Round : 6/16
Sweet 16 : 5/8
Elite Eight : 3/4
Final Four : 0/2
It's been a fun tournament and that's all I got for now. I'll be watching Monday and I'll be back afterwards.
First, I found the average point spread from the seeding matchups. I didn't calculate the play-in games (technically first round) just because I like this format better. I then put a win-loss ratio next to the spread average which is respective to the order of the seeds I listed. From then on I calculated it be region and found a total average for all of them, all the way up to the Final Four. Unfortunately, I don't have any stats like this from prior tournaments and I don't think any exist, so I don't really have anything to compare it to in order to make a real conclusion but I'll try just using general knowledge.
(1) (16) : 28.25 points : 4-0
(2) (15) : 18.5 points : 4-0
(3) (14) : 19 points : 4-0
(4) (13) : 5.25 points : 3-1
(5) (12) : 4.5 points : 3-1
(6) (11) : 12 points : 1-3
(7) (10) : 3.5 points : 3-1
(8) (9) : 11.75 points : 3-1
Average Spread : 12.8 points
As you can see, the closest matchups were the (7) (10), (5) (12), and (4) (13) battles by long shots. In the (6) (11) games, the (11) won 3 of the 4.
3rd Round
East : 9 points : (11) over (3)
West : 5.25 points : (5) over (4)
Southwest : 15.75 points : (11) over (3) & (10) over (2)
Southeast : 9 points : (8) over (1)
Average Spread : 9.75
The point spread dropped here, as expected in every progressing round, since the cream is rising to the top so the games will be tighter. Noted are some upsets, seeding-wise.
Sweet 16
East : 10 points : (4) over (1)
West : 11.5 points : (5) over (1) & (3) over (2)
Southwest : 10.5 points : (11) over (10)
Southeast : 8 points : (8) over (4)
Average Spread : 10 points
The point spread rose .25, so a 1 point total difference. Nothing significant.
Elite Eight
East : 7 points : (4) over (2)
West : 2 points
Southwest : 10 points : (11) over (1)
Southeast : 3 points : (8) over (2)
Average Spread : 5.5 points
Spread dropped a solid amount to a 2-possession game average. In this round 3 of the 4 lower seeds won, and the only higher seed that did was a (3) over (5) by 2 points.
Final Four
East vs West : 1 point
Southwest vs Southeast : 8 points
Average spread : 4.5 points
Spread dropped. Both higher seeds won.
Tournament Average : 9.23 points
Conclusion : The average spread was single digits. I feel as though that is pretty significant when discussing parity. Even given the almost 30points average the (1) seeds had on (16), the rest of the field played tightly enough to yield this result. I feel as though winning by 13+ would be considered a blowout, but the average for this was obviously below that. This shows that most of the games were close and intense and probably could've gone the other way very easily. All I can really say this stat shows is that this tournament produced a lot of nail-biting games and the fans were usually on the edge of their seats, whether it be a lower seed taking down a power house or a higher seed squeaking out a victory over a lower seed. Now, I hope my math is right on these since it's 5AM but I do think they're all correct. So my conclusion is that the games, on average, were not blowouts and they were damn close. This isn't even taking into account things like (1) Duke beating (8) Michigan by 2 points and (11) VCU beating (3) Purdue by 18 and (1) Kansas by 10. The parity is even closer than it seems because some of these large point differences I calculated were by lower seeds slaughtering higher seeds and higher seeds barely beating lower seeds. It wasn't always the higher seeds adding big numbers to the spread. A good deal of the time it was actually the lower seed while the higher narrowly won.
The Southwest 3rd Round is a prime example of this. The average spread is 15.75 points and I noted the (11) beat the (3) and the (10) beat the (2). I don't want people assuming these were close games and it was the other two games in the round that helped boost the numbers. The (10) and (11) won by 14 and 18 points, respectively. These teams were clearly better than their favored counterparts.
I actually just did one more stat check for fun. Here is a round-by-round breakdown of how the lower seeds performed in the only stat that matters is. Winning.
2nd Round : 7/32 lower seeds won
3rd Round : 6/16
Sweet 16 : 5/8
Elite Eight : 3/4
Final Four : 0/2
It's been a fun tournament and that's all I got for now. I'll be watching Monday and I'll be back afterwards.
Saturday, April 2, 2011
March Madness Final Four
These two games surely didn't dissapoint. (11) VCU and (8) Butler traded blows throughout most of the game and it seemed as though neither could pull away from the other in the 2nd half, but Butler did enough to win it. VCU looked like they could stage a comeback with a potential 4-point play with 2:32 left in the game, but it wasn't meant to be. VCU obviously had a hell of a season and I'm sure the seniors enjoyed their magical ride out. Unfortunate, though, that senior guard Joey Rodriguez had to end his career as a Ram with a 1-8 shooting performance.
On the other side, senior Matt Howard on Butler didn't have a great game either, shooting 3-10 and 0-5 from beyond the arc, but he had a clutch put back to essentially seal the game, similar to the game-winner he had against (9) Old Dominion in their first game of the tournament. Shelvin Mack did huge things for Butler all night and really was the play maker, as he shot 8-11 and 5-6 from deep. Another huge reason Butler was victorious was the size of the team. They out-rebounded VCU 46-30, with a 15-5 advantage on the offensive glass. Butler is going to get another shot at a national title when they face (3) UConn. I have to give credit to VCU, though. I said it wasn't going to be close, but they proved me wrong. Every game they played I thought they would perform poorly but they played consistently well all tournament long and simply lost to a better Butler team. But not without going down with a fight.
(3) UConn and (4) Kentucky was just as intense as advertised in a low scoring affair. I thought it would be close and (3) UConn would win, and finally I was right. UConn seemed like they'd run away with it thanks to a 10point half time lead, but the young guns on Kentucky came back and almost stole the victory due to some turnovers by UConn guards. Though it was low scoring, UConn shot extremely well from inside the arc, at 22-for-37. It was their 3-point shooting that was atrocious, at 1-for-12. Kentucky certainly didn't help themselves either, shooting 4-for-12 from the charity stripe. Kentucky had a couple chances to extend the game at the end but couldn't find the basket despite decent looks. A very though night for Brandon Knight will end the dream for Kentucky. The freshman finished shooting 6-23. Kemba and the Huskies will be playing in the last game of the season.
Title Game
(3) UConn vs (8) Butler
A great matchup with two great story lines behind them each. At the beginning of the year, I don't think anyone thought these teams would be as good as they are. When looking at it from a preseason poll, UConn was less expected to be here. Butler was ranked 18 in the preseason poll after coming off a loss to Duke in the championship game. UConn, on the other hand, wasn't even ranked. They actually received 0 votes to the top 25. This was supposed to be a big rebuilding year for them and Jim Calhoun. They finished the regular season as the 9th best team in the Big East, and they something improbable happened. They did something that was never done before in Big East history. They won 5 games in 5 nights and took the crown of the Big East tournament behind the phenomenal play of Kemba Walker. Coming into the Big Dance, they showed no signs of slowing down and are still going strong. If they beat Butler, what an unreal run they had. Storming through the Big East tourney after going 9-9 in-conference during the season and still playing on fire where it really matters. Maybe a run in one tournament and not the other, but I don't think anyone could've predicted they'd be so consistent and do it in both after how their regular season played out.
I'll tell you what, I'm really excited to see the matchup between Shelvin Mack and Kemba Walker. These two guards have played great team basketball as well as individual play.
The Pick
The same thing I said for UConn vs Kentucky applies here. I think Butler has the better team, but UConn has the best player and the game changer in Kemba. I picked UConn in that matchup, but this time around I think the team is going to override the player. I'm going against what I've said since the Sweet 16 and am picking Butler all of a sudden. Butler has so much fun on the court and you can tell each guy trusts their teammates and no one is selfish on that team. They really understand how to play. I think their defense will shut down the Huskies not named Kemba Walker and UConn will struggle to shoot the ball. I will say this, though. I am a big fan of the Big East and hope UConn comes out victorious, even though like everyone I love rooting for the underdogs. Surprisingly, though, I don't think too many people feel that way about Butler. They have more experience in this situation than UConn does and they've been playing just as well as of late so I don't think they can really be considered big underdogs if underdogs at all.
Final Score: Butler (65) UConn (57)
I'll be back to discuss the title game.
On the other side, senior Matt Howard on Butler didn't have a great game either, shooting 3-10 and 0-5 from beyond the arc, but he had a clutch put back to essentially seal the game, similar to the game-winner he had against (9) Old Dominion in their first game of the tournament. Shelvin Mack did huge things for Butler all night and really was the play maker, as he shot 8-11 and 5-6 from deep. Another huge reason Butler was victorious was the size of the team. They out-rebounded VCU 46-30, with a 15-5 advantage on the offensive glass. Butler is going to get another shot at a national title when they face (3) UConn. I have to give credit to VCU, though. I said it wasn't going to be close, but they proved me wrong. Every game they played I thought they would perform poorly but they played consistently well all tournament long and simply lost to a better Butler team. But not without going down with a fight.
(3) UConn and (4) Kentucky was just as intense as advertised in a low scoring affair. I thought it would be close and (3) UConn would win, and finally I was right. UConn seemed like they'd run away with it thanks to a 10point half time lead, but the young guns on Kentucky came back and almost stole the victory due to some turnovers by UConn guards. Though it was low scoring, UConn shot extremely well from inside the arc, at 22-for-37. It was their 3-point shooting that was atrocious, at 1-for-12. Kentucky certainly didn't help themselves either, shooting 4-for-12 from the charity stripe. Kentucky had a couple chances to extend the game at the end but couldn't find the basket despite decent looks. A very though night for Brandon Knight will end the dream for Kentucky. The freshman finished shooting 6-23. Kemba and the Huskies will be playing in the last game of the season.
Title Game
(3) UConn vs (8) Butler
A great matchup with two great story lines behind them each. At the beginning of the year, I don't think anyone thought these teams would be as good as they are. When looking at it from a preseason poll, UConn was less expected to be here. Butler was ranked 18 in the preseason poll after coming off a loss to Duke in the championship game. UConn, on the other hand, wasn't even ranked. They actually received 0 votes to the top 25. This was supposed to be a big rebuilding year for them and Jim Calhoun. They finished the regular season as the 9th best team in the Big East, and they something improbable happened. They did something that was never done before in Big East history. They won 5 games in 5 nights and took the crown of the Big East tournament behind the phenomenal play of Kemba Walker. Coming into the Big Dance, they showed no signs of slowing down and are still going strong. If they beat Butler, what an unreal run they had. Storming through the Big East tourney after going 9-9 in-conference during the season and still playing on fire where it really matters. Maybe a run in one tournament and not the other, but I don't think anyone could've predicted they'd be so consistent and do it in both after how their regular season played out.
I'll tell you what, I'm really excited to see the matchup between Shelvin Mack and Kemba Walker. These two guards have played great team basketball as well as individual play.
The Pick
The same thing I said for UConn vs Kentucky applies here. I think Butler has the better team, but UConn has the best player and the game changer in Kemba. I picked UConn in that matchup, but this time around I think the team is going to override the player. I'm going against what I've said since the Sweet 16 and am picking Butler all of a sudden. Butler has so much fun on the court and you can tell each guy trusts their teammates and no one is selfish on that team. They really understand how to play. I think their defense will shut down the Huskies not named Kemba Walker and UConn will struggle to shoot the ball. I will say this, though. I am a big fan of the Big East and hope UConn comes out victorious, even though like everyone I love rooting for the underdogs. Surprisingly, though, I don't think too many people feel that way about Butler. They have more experience in this situation than UConn does and they've been playing just as well as of late so I don't think they can really be considered big underdogs if underdogs at all.
Final Score: Butler (65) UConn (57)
I'll be back to discuss the title game.
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